| Labor Market Insights - February 2026 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights-Labor-Market.aspx | Labor Market Insights - February 2026 | Stephen Cooper | | February 12, 2026 | It was a strong start to 2026 for the labor market overall; however, recent revisions have been skewed to the downside, suggesting more information will be needed before we gain more confidence in a labor market rebound. | Article |
| Medical Inflation Insights - January 2026 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights-medical-inflation.aspx | Medical Inflation Insights - January 2026 | Stephen Cooper | | January 27, 2026 | The medical categories most susceptible to tariffs did see a moderate increase in the pace of price growth to end the year; however, the overall pace of growth remains below longer-term averages. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2025 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q42025.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2025 | Stephen Cooper, Patrick Coate, Yariv Fadlon, and Mari Villalta | | December 09, 2025 | In this brief, we will look at a broader swath of data to assess the labor market’s current state. We will outline several scenarios for how things may play out for the remainder of the year and what each scenario may mean for workers compensation. | Article |
| 2025 in Sight, 2024 in Review: The Latest Results for Workers Compensation | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights-2025-in-Sight-2024-in-Review.aspx | 2025 in Sight, 2024 in Review: The Latest Results for Workers Compensation | Samantha Sullivan, Kevin Fernes, Zachary Matson, Vanessa Polidoro | | October 08, 2025 | At AIS 2025, NCCI presented the State of the Line Report—an account of results for the WC line of business reflecting the most current data available at the time. This report provides both updated results for 2024 and an early look at 2025. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q3 2025 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q32025.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q3 2025 | Stephen Cooper, Patrick Coate, and Yariv Fadlon | | September 23, 2025 | In this brief, we will look at a broader swath of data to assess the labor market’s current state. We will outline several scenarios for how things may play out for the remainder of the year and what each scenario may mean for workers compensation. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q2 2025 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q22025.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q2 2025 | Stephen Cooper, Patrick Coate, and Yariv Fadlon | | June 25, 2025 | In this brief, we will summarize the key takeaways from 2025’s The State of the Economy and Its Impact on Workers Compensation presentation as well as provide several updates based on new information in the weeks since the presentation. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q1 2025 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q12025.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q1 2025 | Stephen Cooper, Patrick Coate, and Yariv Fadlon | | March 19, 2025 | In this brief, we will review how the economy performed during 2024, compare it to people’s perceptions of how the economy performed, and explore the mismatch between the data and perception. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q3 2024 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q32024.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q3 2024 | Stephen Cooper, Patrick Coate, and Yariv Fadlon | | October 30, 2024 | In this briefing, we discuss developments in the data across key segments of the economy, how those developments have impacted the economic outlook, and what it means for workers compensation. | Article |
| 2024 in Sight, 2023 in Review: The Latest Results for Workers Compensation | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights-2023-in-Review-The-Latest-Results-for-Workers-Compensation.aspx | 2024 in Sight, 2023 in Review: The Latest Results for Workers Compensation | Emily Spiteri, Samantha Sullivan, and Kevin Fernes | | October 09, 2024 | At AIS 2024, NCCI presented the State of the Line Report—an account of results for the WC line of business reflecting the most current data available at the time. This report provides both updated results for 2023 and an early look at 2024. | Article |
| Economic Flash Report: Benchmark Revisions to Current Employment Statistics | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Economic-Flash-Report.aspx | Economic Flash Report: Benchmark Revisions to Current Employment Statistics | Stephen Cooper | | August 22, 2024 | This report delivers timely insights into the latest economic developments and their implications for workers compensation. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q2 2024 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q22024.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q2 2024 | Stephen Cooper, Yariv Fadlon, and Patrick Coate | | July 25, 2024 | NCCI consistently hears from stakeholders that medical inflation is a top concern, and we are responding with insights, data, and NCCI’s newly developed Workers Compensation Weighted Medical Price Index. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q1 2024 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q12024.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q1 2024 | Stephen Cooper, Yariv Fadlon, and Patrick Coate | | May 07, 2024 | In this report, we look at the Fed’s forecast for the economy in 2024 as well as three alternative scenarios. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2023 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q42023.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2023 | Stephen Cooper, Yariv Fadlon, and Patrick Coate | | January 29, 2024 | This edition of the Quarterly Economics Briefing details the evolution of the labor market development in 2023 and why we remain positive about the labor market and the economy heading into 2024. | Article |
| 2023 Workers Compensation Financial Results Update | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights-2023-WorkersComp-Financial-Results-UPD.aspx | 2023 Workers Compensation Financial Results Update | Emily Spiteri and Samantha Sullivan | | November 01, 2023 | In this report, NCCI provides updated financial results for 2022, as well as preliminary information for 2023. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q3 2023 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q32023.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q3 2023 | Stephen Cooper, Yariv Fadlon, and Patrick Coate | | October 26, 2023 | Recession odds have diminished over the past quarter as the labor market has remained strong, real wage growth has turned positive, and pandemic era savings have yet to be exhausted. We dive into the details and their impact on workers compensation. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q2 2023 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q22023.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q2 2023 | Patrick Coate and Yariv Fadlon | | July 24, 2023 | The US labor market is strong. We examine likely drivers of a potential recession or slowdown and show that current economic indicators do not suggest an imminent recession. However, drawdowns of consumer savings could lead to slowing economic growth. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q1 2023 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q12023.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q1 2023 | Patrick Coate | | April 27, 2023 | The labor market is starting to cool off but remains favorable to workers by historical standards, and its cooling is not evenly distributed across economic sectors. Employment and wage growth and hiring rates demonstrate this pattern in recent months. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2022 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q42022.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2022 | Patrick Coate | | January 31, 2023 | Reduced immigration in 2020 and 2021 lowered labor supply in the US. How much do foreign-born workers drive labor force growth, and what occupations are most affected? NCCI addresses these changes and their impact on workers compensation. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q3 2022 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q32022.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q3 2022 | Patrick Coate | | November 14, 2022 | Decreased labor supply is driving the tight US labor market. Which workers are returning to the labor force and which are not? And what does lower labor force participation mean for workers compensation? | Article |
| 2022 Workers Compensation Financial Results Update | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights-2022-WorkersComp-Financial-Results-Update.aspx | 2022 Workers Compensation Financial Results Update | Emily Spiteri and Samantha Sullivan | | November 07, 2022 | In this report, NCCI provides updated financial results for 2021, as well as preliminary information for 2022. | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q2 2022 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q22022.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q2 2022 | Leonard F. Herk and Patrick Coate | | August 08, 2022 | Job creation, hiring, and wage growth are strong through midyear, but the US economy is slowing and consumer price inflation is at a 50-year high. Does today’s inflation foreshadow a coming recession; and what do both mean for workers compensation? | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q1 2022 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q12022.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q1 2022 | Leonard F. Herk and Francesco Renna | | April 25, 2022 | The US economy is at full employment, but has fewer workers than two years ago. How have employment patterns changed and which workers are missing? With rising inflation and the war in Ukraine, is a swing from full employment to recession imminent? | Article |
| Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2021 | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights_Quarterly_Economics_Briefing-Q42021.aspx | Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2021 | Leonard F. Herk | | February 14, 2022 | Strong employment growth despite Omicron, low unemployment rates but fewer workers in the labor force, a surge in job quits and wage inflation, the Great Reshuffle in labor markets: is this the new normal for the US economy? | Article |
| Supply Chain Disruptions and Their Employment Impacts | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights-Supply-Chain-Disruptions.aspx | Supply Chain Disruptions and Their Employment Impacts | Patrick Coate and Francesco Renna | | December 13, 2021 | Supply chain disruptions are affecting both production and employment. Material shortages and logistics bottlenecks are joint contributors. Their effects differ across the US economy, as exemplified by case studies for construction and auto manufacturing. | Article |
| 2021 Workers Compensation Financial Results Update | | https://www.ncci.com/Articles/Pages/Insights-2021-WorkersComp-Financial-Results-Update.aspx | 2021 Workers Compensation Financial Results Update | NCCI Insights | | November 10, 2021 | This year’s NCCI State of the Line Report reflected the most up-to-date data at the time, including NCCI’s preliminary estimates for Calendar Year 2020. This report provides updated results for 2020 as well as preliminary information for 2021. | Article |
