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Insights
Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2025
Quarterly Economics Briefing (QEB) - Q4 2025
NCCI Page Content Two
​​InsightsEconomic & Financial
 
 
 
 
Stephen Cooper, Patrick Coate, Yariv Fadlon,
and Mari VillaltaDecember 09, 2025
 
​​
Page Content

With economic uncertainty already a top workers compensation industry concern, the recent government shutdown has added further angst despite surprisingly solid Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in Q2 and through most of Q3. The 2025 government shutdown was the longest government shutdown in history, lasting for 43 days. While government shutdowns have not been rare over the past several decades, most are short-lived, and the general consensus suggests that impacts to the economy grow the longer the shutdown persists.

In this brief, we will look at the recent history of government shutdowns to assess the potential impacts of the 2025 shutdown on the economy and on workers compensation.

Key Themes and Takeaways

  • Government shutdowns are not rare, but past government shutdowns have had only limited or temporary impacts on the economy and minimal impact on workers compensation.
  • Although the 2025 government shutdown was the longest in history, increasing economic uncertainty, we see little reason to suspect that 2025 will prove different from prior years.​

Check out the full Quarterly Economics Briefing to learn more.

Connect with our Economics Team if you have questions or want to gain additional insights.

​This article is provided solely as a reference tool to be used for informational purposes only. The information in this article shall not be construed or interpreted as providing legal or any other advice. Use of this article for any purpose other than as set forth herein is strictly prohibited.
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Complete Report Quarterly Economics Briefing - Q4 2025
 

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