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Research & Outlook
NCCI's Research and Outlook initiative offers latest workers compensation market information, studies and analysis on a wide array of factors influencing the industry. 

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The Impact of Workers Compensation Drug Fee Schedules
A new NCCI research report examines the effectiveness of fee schedules at controlling medical costs.
Posted Date: September 28, 2015

News From Annual Issues Symposium 2015
View NCCI’s exclusive State of the Line report and other insightful industry information from AIS 2015!
Posted Date: July 20, 2015

New NCCI Study Examines Relationship between Accident Report Lag and Claim Cost
In a new study, NCCI looks at the relationship between report lag and claim cost using recent industry wide data.
Posted Date: May 26, 2015

The Impact of Claimant Age on Late-Term Medical Costs
A new NCCI research report finds that the average annual late-term medical cost per claim generally decreases gradually with increasing claimant age.
Posted Date: October 20, 2014

NCCI Examines Medicare Set-Asides (MSAs) and Workers Compensation
Using a sample of proposed workers compensation settlements, this new report looks at demographics and the review process related to MSAs.
Posted Date: September 15, 2014

Workers Compensation Claim Frequency—2014 Update
According to preliminary estimates, workers compensation lost-time claim frequency declined by a relatively modest 2% in Accident Year 2013.
Posted Date: July 18, 2014

Understanding What Drives the Underwriting Cycle
A new NCCI research report examines the financial performance of the property and casualty (P&C) industry as it relates to the business cycle, economic trends and investment income.
Posted Date: June 05, 2014

NCCI Posts New Research on Price Impact of Physician Fee Schedules
NCCI has published a new research report on the The Price Impact of Physician Fee Schedules.
Posted Date: April 29, 2014

NCCI Publishes New Research on Prescription Drug Expenditures
With medical expenditures growing at a faster rate than indemnity benefits in workers compensation, NCCI has once again re-examined prescription drug (Rx) costs, which are a significant driver of medical costs.
Posted Date: September 26, 2013

Workers Compensation Claim Frequency—2013 Update
This study provides NCCI’s latest frequency change estimate for Accident Year 2012 and examines the effect of the recession on frequency changes.
Posted Date: September 12, 2013

Workers Compensation Temporary Total Disability Indemnity Benefit Duration—2013 Update
Average benefit durations have risen or fallen in step with the national unemployment rate.
Posted Date: August 29, 2013

The Impact of Physician Fee Schedules in Workers Compensation
New research reports analyze the impact of physician fee schedules on prices and utilization.
Posted Date: August 16, 2012; Updated: May 29, 2013

Medical Services for Claims 20 or More Years Old
In a new research report, NCCI examines workers compensation medical services provided more than two decades years after the initial injury.
Posted Date: January 21, 2013

Role of Traffic Accidents in Workers Compensation—An Update
Traffic accidents are a leading cause of high-severity workers compensation injuries. In an updated research brief, NCCI examines trends associated with the Great Recession and other findings.
Posted Date: December 18, 2012

Comorbidities in Workers Compensation
A new NCCI research report provides new information on comorbidity claimants and the types of providers submitting comorbidity diagnoses.
Posted Date: November 14, 2012

Workers Compensation and the Aging Workforce: Is 35 the New "Older" Worker?
An updated NCCI research report shows that an aging workforce has a far less negative impact on workers compensation claim costs than might have been thought.
Posted Date: October 29, 2012

Workers Compensation Temporary Total Disability Indemnity Benefit Duration—2012 Update
NCCI Releases Workers Compensation Temporary Total Disability Indemnity Benefit Duration—2012 Update.
Posted Date: July 26, 2012

Impact of AMA Guides-6th Edition
This research study analyzes the impact on impairment ratings in three states due to a switch to the sixth edition of the AMA Guides.
Posted Date: July 18, 2012

NCCI Releases New Research on Indemnity Benefit Duration and Obesity
In a new technical research report, NCCI confirms that the number of lost workdays for obese workers is greater than that for workers at recommended weight.
Posted Date: June 19, 2012

NCCI Publishes Research on Bayesian Trend Selection
A new research report discusses how NCCI selects loss ratio trends for aggregate ratemaking using Bayesian model selection.
Posted Date: June 15, 2012

Narcotics in Workers Compensation
NCCI has released an updated report on the cost of narcotics in workers compensation treatments.
Posted Date: June 05, 2012

NCCI Releases New Research Study on Benefit Duration
NCCI’s newest research brief updates our previous paper published in 2011 with an additional 12 months of data.
Posted Date: April 26, 2012

NCCI Releases Research on Violence in the Workplace
A new NCCI study reveals that the reality of workplace violence is markedly different from popular opinion.
Posted Date: January 23, 2012

NCCI Research on the Aging Workforce and Workers Comp
There is widespread concern about the potential adverse impact on workers compensation loss costs as the “baby boomers” postpone retirement and accelerate the aging of the workforce.
Posted Date: January 4, 2012

A Total Credibility Approach to Pool Reserving
NCCI releases new research that explains the development of a comprehensive credibility approach for Pool reserving.
Posted Date: December 05, 2011

NCCI Publishes Research on Loss Cost Components and Industrial Structure
Quantifying the impact of the changes to the industrial structure on loss cost components is important for understanding trends in NCCI aggregate ratemaking.
Posted Date: November 15, 2011

Medical Services by Size of Claim—2011 Update
NCCI has published updated research on how different medical services contribute to workers compensation claim costs over time.
Posted Date: November 1, 2011

NCCI Publishes Research Report on Excess Loss Development
In a new review of excess loss factors, NCCI investigates countrywide excess loss development.
Posted Date: October 11, 2011

NCCI Releases 2011 Claims Frequency Research
Claim frequency for workers compensation injuries increased 3% in 2010, marking the first increase since 1997. NCCI’s 2011 claims frequency research brief examines the latest data.
Posted Date: September 26, 2011

NCCI Publishes 2011 Workers Compensation Prescription Drug Study
In 2010, NCCI identified a sudden and significant growth in the share of workers compensation drugs dispensed by physicians.
Posted Date: September 12, 2011

NCCI Releases Study on Safe Lifting Programs at Long-Term Care Facilities
NCCI has published a new study showing that an increased emphasis on safe lift programs at long-term care facilities is associated with fewer workplace injuries.
Posted Date: March 22, 2011

The Relationship Between Medical Utilization and Indemnity Claim Severity
NCCI has published a new research report comparing the factors driving medical and indemnity severity.
Posted Date: March 01, 2011

NCCI Study Reports Increase in Temporary Total Disability Indemnity Benefits
After a period of moderation, NCCI is now seeing an increase in the average duration of payments for Temporary Total Disability (TTD) indemnity benefits.
Posted Date: February 15, 2011

2010 Prescription Drug Study Update
A newly updated NCCI study shows that the volume of prescription drugs dispensed to workers compensation claimants has risen sharply—putting upward pressure on costs.
Posted Date: January 05, 2011

Study Finds Obesity Increases Risk of Disabling Injuries
A new NCCI study advances previous research by analyzing the differences in outcomes between workplace injuries with “obese” and “non-obese” claims.
Posted Date: December 13, 2010

Reserving in the Age of Obesity
In an updated technical paper, NCCI examines evidence that obesity contributes to the cost of medical care in workers compensation.
Posted Date: November 2010

Indemnity Benefit Duration, Maximum Weekly Benefits, and Claim Attributes
In a new technical study, NCCI examines whether an increase in the maximum weekly benefit of temporary total disability claims leads to a lengthening of the average benefit duration in a group of affected claimants.
Posted Date: October 25, 2010

Workers Compensation Claim Frequency Continues to Decline in 2009
The decline in claim frequency for workers compensation injuries continued in 2009, and economic factors suggest further reductions are likely in 2010.
Posted Date: October 14, 2010

NCCI Participates in Webinar on Workers Comp Market
NCCI Senior Actuary Barry Lipton recently joined a panel of risk experts hosted by A.M. Best for a webinar titled, The Fast-Changing Environment for Workers Compensation Coverage.
Posted Date: August 23, 2010

NCCI Publishes Medical Severity Study Update
NCCI updates a January, 2007 examining the significant increase in medical severity over the period 1996/97 to 2001/02. This update uses more current data and extends the time frame through 2006.
Posted Date: July 16, 2010

Workers Compensation Temporary Total Disability Indemnity Benefit Duration
This research report examines indemnity benefit duration with regard to Temporary Total Disability injuries.
Posted Date: May 24, 2010

NCCI Publishes New Study Regarding Cost Drivers in Loss Development
This new research report addresses recent work at NCCI on enhancing the modeling of loss development in workers compensation.
Posted Date: April 27, 2010

Medicare and Workers Compensation Medical Cost Containment
A new NCCI research study examines several aspects of the role that Medicare has played in workers compensation medical cost containment.
Posted Date: January 19, 2010

Claims Characteristics of Workers Aged 65 and Older
NCCI published new research on how workers aged 65 and older differ from all workers in terms of their share of claims; indemnity and medical payments; frequency; and indemnity and medical severity.
Posted Date: January 15, 2010

The research papers and articles distributed by NCCI and their content are provided for general informational purposes only and are provided "as is"...
Posted Date: Current